The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 2-1 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Tyler Mahle. Shota Imanaga has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Mahle has a 31% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.2 and he has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 68%. In Tyler Mahle quality starts the Rangers win 62%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Matt Shaw who averaged 5.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-1, 67% 84 | Record at Home | 2-3, 40% -141 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-1, 75% 141 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -134 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 114 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-1, 67% 59 | Texas Rangers |
| When Tyler Mahle Starts | 2-0, 100% 167 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 2-1, 67% 79 | Texas Rangers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-49, 40% -1782 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -295 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-1, 67% 64 | VS Texas Rangers | 1-2, 33% -79 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 40-62, 39% -2209 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-51, 47% -269 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-32, 33% -1215 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-26, 54% -623 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Tyler Mahle Starts | 1-2, 33% -104 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 23-7, 77% 1109 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-2, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Mahle STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS | 0-3, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-1, 67% +78 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-3, 40% -141 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 49-32, 60% +1374 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-44, 46% -1131
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-1, 67% +68 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-1, 80% +184 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 53-28, 65% +1233 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -602
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 90 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 29-44, 40% -1940 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-38, 49% -480
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
