The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 0-3 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Mitch Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Erick Fedde. Mitch Keller has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Erick Fedde has a 45% chance of a QS. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 59%. In Erick Fedde quality starts the Cardinals win 63%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Willson Contreras who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record at Home | 1-2, 33% -50 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-0, 100% 305 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-5, 29% -282 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -50 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Erick Fedde Starts | 1-1, 50% 5 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 1-1, 50% -32 | St. Louis Cardinals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -161 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -666 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 8-5, 62% 228 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 5-8, 38% -369 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-30, 53% -317 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-65, 41% -1476 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-10, 52% -184 | Record as Home Underdog | 17-18, 49% 144 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Erick Fedde Starts | 12-20, 38% -395 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 18-15, 55% 325 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 2-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-0, 100% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Erick Fedde STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-0, 100% +230 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-2, 33% -50 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 34-47, 42% -1685 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -376
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-0, 100% +230 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-1, 67% +17 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 38-43, 47% -1441 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1340
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 0-0 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 0-2, 0% -220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-37, 49% -470 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-34, 48% -540
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