April 07, 2025 8:03 AM EST

San Diego Padres vs Athletics 4/7/2025

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The Athletics are 0-3 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 1-2 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Severino has a 49% chance of a QS and Michael King a 52% chance. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Athletics has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 50%. If Michael King has a quality start the Padres has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Brent Rooker who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-2, 33% -86Record at Home0-3, 0% -300San Diego Padres
VS Athletics0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-0, 100% 567vs Team .500 or Better0-3, 0% -300San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200San Diego Padres
When Michael King Starts2-0, 100% 162When Luis Severino Starts0-2, 0% -200San Diego Padres

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road48-36, 57% 1109Record at Home40-41, 49% 102San Diego Padres
VS Athletics3-0, 100% 160VS San Diego Padres0-3, 0% -300San Diego Padres
vs Team Under .50036-19, 65% 550vs Team .500 or Better35-67, 34% -1340San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite21-16, 57% -66Record as Home Underdog29-34, 46% -24Athletics
When Michael King Starts19-12, 61% 462When Luis Severino Starts15-20, 43% -747San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDAthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-41, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 2-1, 67% +59 Athletics Home Games: 3-0, 100% +242 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 40-44, 48% -916 Athletics Home Games: 36-45, 44% -698

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 2-1, 67% +59 Athletics Home Games: 3-0, 100% +242 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 44-40, 52% -577 Athletics Home Games: 45-36, 56% -19

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 90 Athletics Home Games: 3-0, 100% + 300 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 33-44, 43% -1540 Athletics Home Games: 42-37, 53% + 130

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