April 07, 2025 8:03 AM EST

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers 4/7/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Detroit Tigers are 3-0 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 2-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Casey Mize. Carlos Rodon has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Casey Mize has a 41% chance of a QS. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 55%. In Casey Mize quality starts the Tigers win 69%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-1, 67% 17Record at Home3-0, 100% 127Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-2, 67% 85vs Team .500 or Better0-3, 0% -300New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 17Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesNew York Yankees
When Carlos Rodon Starts1-1, 50% -32When Casey Mize Starts1-0, 100% 142Detroit Tigers

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road53-35, 60% 818Record at Home44-39, 53% -116New York Yankees
VS Detroit Tigers4-2, 67% 49VS New York Yankees2-4, 33% -129New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better65-45, 59% 599vs Team .500 or Better52-55, 49% 64New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite37-27, 58% -151Record as Home Underdog19-20, 49% 107Detroit Tigers
When Carlos Rodon Starts21-16, 57% -230When Casey Mize Starts14-11, 56% 298Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-1, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 1-2, 33% +45 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 1-2, 33% -154 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-48, 45% -2098 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 45-38, 54% +493

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 2-1, 67% +17 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 3-0, 100% +127 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 43-45, 49% -1283 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 44-39, 53% -695

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-2, 0% -220 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 1-2, 33% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-42, 47% -920 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 47-33, 59% + 1070

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW