The Boston Red Sox are 2-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 1-1 at home. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Tanner Houck is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Charlie Morton. Tanner Houck has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 39% chance of a QS. If Tanner Houck has a quality start the Red Sox has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 59%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Orioles win 69%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Kristian Campbell who averaged 5.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-4, 33% -237 | Record at Home | 1-1, 50% -32 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-1, 50% -17 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -32 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -237 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% -4 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-0, 100% 68 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | EVEN |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 595 | Record at Home | 45-38, 54% -646 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 5-8, 38% -238 | VS Boston Red Sox | 8-5, 62% 115 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-57, 41% -1591 | vs Team Under .500 | 44-24, 65% 522 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-28, 50% 517 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-35, 51% -1253 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 15-14, 52% -224 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 12-17, 41% -1011 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-5, 17% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 1-1, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-5, 17% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-1, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Houck STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-4, 33% -400 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-1, 50% -17 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -671 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 38-45, 46% -1091
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-3, 50% -83 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-1, 50% -17 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -852 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 44-39, 53% -841
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 1-5, 17% -450 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-1, 50% -10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1440
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
