The Baltimore Orioles are 5-6 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 7-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tomoyuki Sugano has a 40% chance of a QS and Will Warren a 37% chance. If Tomoyuki Sugano has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 58%. If Will Warren has a quality start the Yankees has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% -110 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -185 | New York Yankees |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-2, 83% 406 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -455 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-3, 67% 97 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 5 | New York Yankees |
| When Will Warren Starts | 2-3, 40% -133 | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 2-1, 67% 65 | Baltimore Orioles |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 53-35, 60% 818 | Record at Home | 45-38, 54% -646 | New York Yankees |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 5-8, 38% -341 | VS New York Yankees | 8-5, 62% 412 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 65-45, 59% 599 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-48, 50% -657 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 37-27, 58% -151 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-3, 73% 607 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Will Warren Starts | 1-1, 50% -60 | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 0-0 No Games | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-2, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-2, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Will Warren STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-7, 46% -75 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-3, 73% +596 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-48, 45% -2098 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 38-45, 46% -1091
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-5, 62% +70 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-6, 45% -115 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 43-45, 49% -1283 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 44-39, 53% -841
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-42, 47% -920 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1440
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
