The New York Mets are 7-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 9-6 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Griffin Canning is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Griffin Canning has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 32% chance of a QS. If Griffin Canning has a quality start the Mets has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 72%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 62%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Nathaniel Lowe who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 47% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 75% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-8, 47% -284 | Record at Home | 9-6, 60% 622 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 1-2, 33% -144 | VS New York Mets | 2-1, 67% 178 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-6, 68% 216 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-5, 58% 488 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-5, 50% -196 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-5, 64% 722 | Washington Nationals |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 4-1, 80% 242 | When Trevor Williams Starts | 2-3, 40% -26 | New York Mets |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-42, 53% 796 | Record at Home | 38-43, 47% 83 | New York Mets |
| VS Washington Nationals | 11-2, 85% 593 | VS New York Mets | 2-11, 15% -897 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-23, 63% 653 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-71, 37% -1152 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-14, 56% -159 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-33, 43% 112 | Washington Nationals |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 13-17, 43% -65 | When Trevor Williams Starts | 10-3, 77% 1240 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-9, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-6, 57% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Griffin Canning STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 10-5, 67% +120 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-6, 60% +466 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 43-46, 48% -1487 Washington Nationals Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1124
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-7, 53% -124 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-9, 40% -478 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 39-50, 44% -2023 Washington Nationals Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1147
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -70 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Mets Road Games: 45-32, 58% + 980 Washington Nationals Home Games: 32-33, 49% -430
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