April 24, 2025 5:42 AM EST

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels 4/24/2025

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The Los Angeles Angels are 4-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 2-8 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels starter Tyler Anderson is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Carmen Mlodzinski. Tyler Anderson has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carmen Mlodzinski has a 38% chance of a QS. If Tyler Anderson has a quality start the Angels has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 62%. In Carmen Mlodzinski quality starts the Pirates win 62%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Oneil Cruz who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-8, 20% -652Record at Home4-2, 67% 257Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-5, 17% -350vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 337Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog0-5, 0% -500Record As Home Favorite0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Angels
When Carmen Mlodzinski Starts1-3, 25% -195When Tyler Anderson Starts4-0, 100% 482Los Angeles Angels

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-44, 46% -375Record at Home32-49, 40% -1302Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Los Angeles Angels1-2, 33% -138VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-1, 67% 114Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .50030-21, 59% 435vs Team Under .50021-40, 34% -1771Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog28-37, 43% -314Record As Home Favorite9-10, 47% -306Los Angeles Angels
When Carmen Mlodzinski Starts2-1, 67% 68When Tyler Anderson Starts14-16, 47% 304Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-7, 22% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-2, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-43, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Carmen Mlodzinski STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Anderson STARTS2-2, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-4, 60% +85 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-2, 67% +257 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 42-39, 52% +671 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-51, 37% -1958

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-4, 60% -19 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-3, 50% +21 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 46-35, 57% -361 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 41-40, 51% -893

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 42-29, 59% + 1010 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 39-37, 51% -170

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