April 24, 2025 5:42 AM EST

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins 4/24/2025

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The Minnesota Twins are 4-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 1-9 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Paddack has a 54% chance of a QS and Shane Smith a 53% chance. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 62%. If Shane Smith has a quality start the White Sox has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 43%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Luke Keaschall who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Andrew Benintendi who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Chicago White SoxRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-9, 10% -675Record at Home4-5, 44% -155Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-3, 0% -300VS Chicago White Sox3-0, 100% 165Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .5000-6, 0% -600vs Team Under .5004-9, 31% -642Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog1-9, 10% -675Record As Home Favorite3-5, 38% -250Minnesota Twins
When Shane Smith Starts0-2, 0% -200When Chris Paddack Starts1-3, 25% -248Chicago White Sox

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Chicago White SoxRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-63, 22% -3180Record at Home43-38, 53% -890Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins1-12, 8% -1062VS Chicago White Sox12-1, 92% 465Minnesota Twins
vs Team .500 or Better24-92, 21% -5070vs Team Under .50042-19, 69% 720Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog18-62, 22% -3080Record As Home Favorite36-32, 53% -1081Minnesota Twins
When Shane Smith Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Chris Paddack Starts11-6, 65% 293Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-6, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-5, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Shane Smith STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS3-1, 75% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 4-6, 40% -154 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-4, 56% +111 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 42-39, 52% +500 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 41-40, 51% -467

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-1, 90% +269 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -113 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 64-17, 79% +1365 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 44-37, 54% -799

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 41-34, 55% + 360 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 34-42, 45% -1220

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