The Washington Nationals are 5-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 4-6 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Cade Povich. MacKenzie Gore has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Povich has a 33% chance of a QS. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. In Cade Povich quality starts the Orioles win 62%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -196 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 310 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-4, 33% -197 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-6, 40% -234 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% -96 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Washington Nationals |
| When Cade Povich Starts | 1-3, 25% -232 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-3, 40% -76 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-34, 58% 511 | Record at Home | 38-43, 47% 83 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% -85 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-2, 50% 130 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 44-24, 65% 522 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-71, 37% -1152 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-14, 52% 327 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-10, 57% -29 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Cade Povich Starts | 4-10, 29% -665 | When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 15-18, 45% -138 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-2, 78% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cade Povich STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-4, 60% +176 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-4, 56% +212 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 42-39, 52% -1723 Washington Nationals Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1124
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-4, 60% +93 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -254 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 46-35, 57% -14 Washington Nationals Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1147
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 34-42, 45% -1220 Washington Nationals Home Games: 32-33, 49% -430
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