The Atlanta Braves are 7-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 1-10 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Bryce Elder has a 37% chance of a QS and Miles Mikolas a 35% chance. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 65%. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 44%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Phil Maton who averaged 3.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-10, 9% -886 | Record at Home | 7-2, 78% 257 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 52 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-3, 57% 119 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -748 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-8, 11% -686 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-2, 78% 257 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 1-4, 20% -295 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 1-2, 33% -132 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -161 | Record at Home | 46-35, 57% -928 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 3-3, 50% 23 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -66 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 48-50, 49% 84 | vs Team .500 or Better | 56-46, 55% -519 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-32, 47% 23 | Record As Home Favorite | 44-33, 57% -939 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 18-15, 55% 482 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 5-5, 50% -163 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 2-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-5, 55% +47 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-3, 67% +105 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 34-47, 42% -1685 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 43-38, 53% +1126
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-3, 73% +299 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-2, 78% +257 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 38-43, 47% -1441 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 47-34, 58% -618
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-37, 49% -470 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-27, 58% + 730
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