April 22, 2025 3:54 PM EST

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 4/22/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 6-1 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 6-5 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Tanner Bibee has a 48% chance of a QS and Will Warren a 47% chance. If Tanner Bibee has a quality start the Guardians has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 46%. If Will Warren has a quality start the Yankees has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

New York YankeesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -75Record at Home6-1, 86% 273Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians0-1, 0% -100VS New York Yankees1-0, 100% 100Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% -276vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -313New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -107Record As Home Favorite5-0, 100% 273Cleveland Guardians
When Will Warren Starts2-2, 50% -33When Tanner Bibee Starts2-2, 50% -37New York Yankees

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road53-35, 60% 818Record at Home54-32, 63% 952Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians7-4, 64% 55VS New York Yankees4-7, 36% -252New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better65-45, 59% 599vs Team .500 or Better57-53, 52% 134New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog16-8, 67% 969Record As Home Favorite42-24, 64% 562New York Yankees
When Will Warren Starts1-1, 50% -60When Tanner Bibee Starts23-11, 68% 796Cleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-4, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Will Warren STARTS2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS2-1, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-5, 55% +125 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-3, 57% -25 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-48, 45% -2098 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 46-40, 53% -113

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-3, 73% +270 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-1, 86% +273 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 43-45, 49% -1283 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 49-37, 57% +25

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 37-42, 47% -920 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 39-40, 49% -500

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