The Cincinnati Reds are 2-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 1-1 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Hunter Greene is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Jack Leiter. Hunter Greene has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Leiter has a 25% chance of a QS. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 64%. In Jack Leiter quality starts the Rangers win 64%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Matt McLain who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-1, 50% -30 | Record at Home | 2-3, 40% -122 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-1, 50% -30 | VS Texas Rangers | 1-1, 50% -2 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-3, 40% -122 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 1-1, 50% -20 | Texas Rangers |
| When Jack Leiter Starts | 1-0, 100% 100 | When Hunter Greene Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Texas Rangers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-49, 40% -1782 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -608 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-1, 67% 38 | VS Texas Rangers | 1-2, 33% -86 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 36-24, 60% 80 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-63, 43% -532 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-32, 33% -1215 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-24, 47% -865 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Jack Leiter Starts | 2-3, 40% -175 | When Hunter Greene Starts | 11-17, 39% -692 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-1, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jack Leiter STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-0, 100% +178 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-2, 60% +48 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 49-32, 60% +1374 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 39-42, 48% -593
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-0, 100% +168 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-2, 60% +48 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 53-28, 65% +1233 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 43-38, 53% -250
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-0, 100% + 200 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 29-44, 40% -1940 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 35-29, 55% + 310
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