The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-1 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 2-3 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Cal Quantrill. Taijuan Walker has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cal Quantrill has a 26% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 77%. In Cal Quantrill quality starts the Marlins win 52%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Matt Mervis who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 41% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-3, 40% 80 | Record at Home | 5-1, 83% 238 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -74 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 124 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% 80 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-1, 75% 14 | Miami Marlins |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 2-1, 67% 204 | When Taijuan Walker Starts | 2-0, 100% 157 | Miami Marlins |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-49, 40% 99 | Record at Home | 56-27, 67% 580 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 6-7, 46% 434 | VS Miami Marlins | 7-6, 54% -246 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 45-64, 41% 413 | vs Team Under .500 | 41-24, 63% -141 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 31-48, 39% 120 | Record As Home Favorite | 53-25, 68% 461 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 13-17, 43% 331 | When Taijuan Walker Starts | 3-11, 21% -803 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 1-5, 17% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-3, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-5, 17% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-2, 60% +165 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 47-34, 58% +2489 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 50-33, 60% +355
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-2, 60% -84 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-1, 83% +238 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 49-32, 60% -370 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 55-28, 66% +368
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 1-2, 33% -120 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 39-33, 54% + 270 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 38-36, 51% -160
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