The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 4-4 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Ben Brown. Zac Gallen has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ben Brown has a 37% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 58%. In Ben Brown quality starts the Cubs win 66%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Josh Naylor who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 71% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% -17 | Record at Home | 4-4, 50% -102 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-2, 50% -43 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-2, 50% 7 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 170 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -132 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Zac Gallen Starts | 2-2, 50% 3 | When Ben Brown Starts | 2-1, 67% 127 | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-36, 56% 937 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -295 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-3, 50% -30 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-3, 50% 14 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 52-54, 49% -197 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-51, 47% -269 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 17-11, 61% 135 | Record as Home Underdog | 13-11, 54% 328 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Zac Gallen Starts | 19-10, 66% 473 | When Ben Brown Starts | 3-5, 38% -106 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ben Brown STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-2, 67% +184 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -102 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-50, 38% -2732 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-44, 46% -1131
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -17 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-2, 75% +223 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 44-37, 54% -447 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -602
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 37-38, 49% -480 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-38, 49% -480
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