The Chicago Cubs are 4-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 3-3 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Colin Rea has a 39% chance of a QS and Corbin Burnes a 34% chance. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 60%. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 43%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% -17 | Record at Home | 4-4, 50% -102 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-2, 50% -43 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-2, 50% 7 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 170 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -132 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 2-1, 67% 51 | When Colin Rea Starts | 1-0, 100% 215 | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-36, 56% 937 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -295 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-3, 50% -30 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-3, 50% 14 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 52-54, 49% -197 | vs Team .500 or Better | 46-51, 47% -269 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 17-11, 61% 135 | Record as Home Underdog | 13-11, 54% 328 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 18-13, 58% -269 | When Colin Rea Starts | 20-11, 65% 752 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS | 2-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-2, 67% +184 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -102 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-50, 38% -2732 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-44, 46% -1131
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -17 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-2, 75% +223 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 44-37, 54% -447 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 44-37, 54% -602
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 37-38, 49% -480 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-38, 49% -480
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