April 17, 2025 3:13 PM EST

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins 4/17/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 6-4 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Eduardo Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Edward Cabrera. Eduardo Rodriguez has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Edward Cabrera has a 39% chance of a QS. If Eduardo Rodriguez has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 69%. In Edward Cabrera quality starts the Marlins win 57%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Xavier Edwards who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 46% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 80% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -17Record at Home6-4, 60% 240Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-4, 60% 111vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -74Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -132Record as Home Underdog5-4, 56% 175Miami Marlins
When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts1-2, 33% -120When Edward Cabrera Starts0-1, 0% -100Miami Marlins

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road45-36, 56% 937Record at Home30-51, 37% -1273Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Miami Marlins4-2, 67% 31VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-4, 33% -116Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team Under .50037-19, 66% 468vs Team .500 or Better45-64, 41% 413Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite17-11, 61% 135Record as Home Underdog26-36, 42% -40Arizona Diamondbacks
When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts6-6, 50% -144When Edward Cabrera Starts6-13, 32% -568Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Eduardo Rodriguez STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Edward Cabrera STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-2, 67% +184 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-6, 40% -351 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-50, 38% -2732 Miami Marlins Home Games: 48-33, 59% +1425

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -17 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -186 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 44-37, 54% -447 Miami Marlins Home Games: 46-35, 57% -143

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 37-38, 49% -480 Miami Marlins Home Games: 45-28, 62% + 1420

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW