The San Diego Padres are 10-0 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Nick Pivetta has a 53% chance of a QS and Matthew Boyd a 58% chance. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Padres has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 52%. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-3, 70% 514 | Record at Home | 10-0, 100% 717 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 59 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -86 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 170 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-2, 67% 99 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 363 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-0, 100% 492 | San Diego Padres |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 1-2, 33% -118 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 2-1, 67% 26 | San Diego Padres |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 39-42, 48% -123 | Record at Home | 48-37, 56% -260 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-4, 33% -192 | VS Chicago Cubs | 4-2, 67% 117 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 46-51, 47% -269 | vs Team .500 or Better | 60-54, 53% 299 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-29, 45% 36 | Record As Home Favorite | 39-29, 57% -408 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 8-3, 73% 460 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 17-14, 55% 159 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-5, 50% -183 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-7, 30% -525 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-40, 51% +177 San Diego Padres Home Games: 42-43, 49% -404
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-5, 50% -107 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% -65 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 44-37, 54% -174 San Diego Padres Home Games: 47-38, 55% -343
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-2, 80% + 580 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-25, 62% + 1350 San Diego Padres Home Games: 41-33, 55% + 470
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