The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-2 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 1-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Bassitt has a 60% chance of a QS and Spencer Strider a 61% chance. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 48%. If Spencer Strider has a quality start the Braves has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-9, 10% -780 | Record at Home | 5-2, 71% 185 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -692 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-3, 0% -300 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 114 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Spencer Strider Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 1-1, 50% -26 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-40, 52% -865 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -1183 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-1, 67% -7 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -55 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 33-29, 53% -1274 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-64, 41% -1743 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 35-27, 56% -362 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-15, 38% -559 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Spencer Strider Starts | 1-1, 50% -68 | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 12-18, 40% -745 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-4, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Strider STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-8, 20% -575 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +185 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 39-44, 47% -899 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -366
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-6, 40% -290 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +185 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 50-33, 60% +487 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1448
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 33-41, 45% -1210 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 35-40, 47% -900
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