The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-5 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 4-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Ryan Pepiot has a 47% chance of a QS and Walker Buehler a 45% chance. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 48%. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Red Sox has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Kameron Misner who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Wilyer Abreau who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -293 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% -26 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 157 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-5, 17% -430 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -198 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -31 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Walker Buehler Starts | 1-1, 50% -32 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 2-1, 67% 19 | Tampa Bay Rays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 595 | Record at Home | 42-39, 52% -460 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 6-7, 46% -104 | VS Boston Red Sox | 7-6, 54% 22 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 42-24, 64% 1043 | vs Team Under .500 | 31-24, 56% 21 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-28, 50% 517 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-20, 58% 22 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Walker Buehler Starts | 9-8, 53% -82 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 14-14, 50% -140 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-7, 30% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-7, 30% -598 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 9-3, 75% +479 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -671 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1127
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-5, 50% -139 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-5, 58% +14 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 41-40, 51% -852 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -697
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 2-7, 22% -570 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 39-35, 53% + 50
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