April 12, 2025 12:30 PM EST

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 4/12/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 0-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 1-2 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Cade Povich. Bowden Francis has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Povich has a 36% chance of a QS. If Bowden Francis has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 59%. In Cade Povich quality starts the Orioles win 71%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alan Roden who averaged 4.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-3, 0% -300Record at Home1-2, 33% -132Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles2-2, 50% -49VS Toronto Blue Jays2-2, 50% -4Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 185vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -136Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog0-3, 0% -300Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -32Baltimore Orioles
When Bowden Francis Starts1-1, 50% -40When Cade Povich Starts1-1, 50% -32Baltimore Orioles

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-46, 43% -938Record at Home45-38, 54% -646Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles6-7, 46% -47VS Toronto Blue Jays7-6, 54% -162Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better45-64, 41% -1743vs Team Under .50044-24, 65% 522Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog23-38, 38% -993Record As Home Favorite37-35, 51% -1253Toronto Blue Jays
When Bowden Francis Starts6-7, 46% -53When Cade Povich Starts4-10, 29% -665Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-1, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-3, 0% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Bowden Francis STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cade Povich STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 0-3, 0% -300 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 2-1, 67% +85 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 30-51, 37% -1922 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 38-45, 46% -1091

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 0-3, 0% -300 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 2-1, 67% +85 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 40-41, 49% -1336 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 44-39, 53% -841

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 0-3, 0% -330 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-2, 33% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 37-37, 50% -370 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1440

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