The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-1 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 4-2 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Cristopher Sanchez has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 46% chance of a QS. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 62%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 63%. He has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lars Nootbaar who averaged 1.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-1, 67% 24 | Record at Home | 4-2, 67% 170 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 138 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-5, 17% -435 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-1, 67% 24 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-0, 100% 305 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 2-0, 100% 154 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 1-2, 33% -95 | Philadelphia Phillies |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-42, 49% -981 | Record at Home | 43-38, 53% -72 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 4-2, 67% 96 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-4, 33% -172 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 56-45, 55% -260 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-50, 49% 84 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 31-28, 53% -652 | Record as Home Underdog | 16-12, 57% 535 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 19-14, 58% -177 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 18-15, 55% 482 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-1, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-1, 67% +36 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-1, 83% +394 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 40-43, 48% -1188 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 45-36, 56% +892
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-1, 67% +24 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-2, 67% +170 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 38-45, 46% -1573 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 43-38, 53% -208
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 90 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 42-36, 54% + 240 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 33-38, 46% -880
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