April 12, 2025 12:30 PM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 4/12/2025

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The Minnesota Twins are 1-2 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 2-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Chris Paddack has a 49% chance of a QS and Jackson Jobe a 48% chance. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Twins has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.7 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 54%. If Jackson Jobe has a quality start the Tigers has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Matt Wallner who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-4, 33% -156Record at Home1-2, 33% -120Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 271vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesDetroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -56Record As Home Favorite1-2, 33% -120Detroit Tigers
When Jackson Jobe Starts2-0, 100% 148When Chris Paddack Starts1-1, 50% -48Detroit Tigers

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road46-40, 53% 740Record at Home43-38, 53% -890Detroit Tigers
VS Minnesota Twins6-7, 46% -77VS Detroit Tigers7-6, 54% -76Minnesota Twins
vs Team .500 or Better52-55, 49% 64vs Team .500 or Better40-61, 40% -2596Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog29-29, 50% 601Record As Home Favorite36-32, 53% -1081Detroit Tigers
When Jackson Jobe Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Chris Paddack Starts11-6, 65% 293Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME1-1, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jackson Jobe STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS2-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-2, 67% +55 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 2-1, 67% +107 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 42-44, 49% -213 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 41-40, 51% -467

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-2, 67% +55 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 2-1, 67% +107 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-38, 56% -324 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 44-37, 54% -799

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 1-1, 50% -10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 30-48, 38% -2280 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 34-42, 45% -1220

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