The Tampa Bay Rays are 4-2 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 0-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Drew Rasmussen has a 37% chance of a QS and AJ Smith-Shawver a 36% chance. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 48%. If AJ Smith-Shawver has a quality start the Braves has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Drake Baldwin who averaged 5.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 0-7, 0% -700 | Record at Home | 4-2, 67% 19 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 0-0 No Games | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-3, 0% -300 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-5, 0% -500 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-1, 80% 119 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 1-1, 50% -46 | Tampa Bay Rays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-40, 52% -865 | Record at Home | 42-39, 52% -460 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1, 67% 19 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -100 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 33-29, 53% -1274 | vs Team .500 or Better | 49-58, 46% -746 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-13, 38% -503 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-20, 58% 22 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When AJ Smith-Shawver Starts | 1-0, 100% 85 | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 1-2, 33% -102 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-5, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 1-5, 17% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-5, 17% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN AJ Smith-Shawver STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 0-7, 0% -700 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-2, 67% +19 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 39-44, 47% -899 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1127
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-5, 29% -415 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-2, 67% +19 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 50-33, 60% +487 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -697
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 2-5, 29% -350 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 33-41, 45% -1210 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 39-35, 53% + 50
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
