The Toronto Blue Jays are 3-2 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 0-1 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Jose Berrios has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 25% chance of a QS. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 71%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 61%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alan Roden who averaged 4.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record at Home | 3-2, 60% 11 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 60 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-3, 25% -164 | vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 60 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% 11 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jose Berrios Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Washington Nationals |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-48, 41% -280 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -1183 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-1, 67% 146 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-2, 33% -144 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 30-20, 60% 955 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-24, 55% -378 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 29-46, 39% -391 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-27, 53% -625 | Washington Nationals |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 10-3, 77% 1240 | When Jose Berrios Starts | 19-12, 61% 586 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-1, 0% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +122 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-2, 60% +11 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 56-25, 69% +3546 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -366
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +60 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-2, 60% +11 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 52-29, 64% +451 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 38-43, 47% -1448
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-37, 51% -270 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 35-40, 47% -900
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