The New York Mets are 2-2 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 3-2 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Kodai Senga is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Kodai Senga has a 68% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 54% chance of a QS. If Kodai Senga has a quality start the Mets has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 65%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 53%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Xavier Edwards who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 78% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-2, 50% -34 | Record at Home | 3-2, 60% 125 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 52 | VS New York Mets | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% -34 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-0, 100% 52 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-2, 60% 125 | Miami Marlins |
| When Kodai Senga Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-0, 100% 130 | Miami Marlins |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 47-42, 53% 796 | Record at Home | 30-51, 37% -1273 | New York Mets |
| VS Miami Marlins | 7-6, 54% -201 | VS New York Mets | 6-7, 46% 37 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-23, 63% 653 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-64, 41% 413 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-14, 56% -159 | Record as Home Underdog | 26-36, 42% -40 | Miami Marlins |
| When Kodai Senga Starts | 2-1, 67% 128 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 0-0 No Games | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-2, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-3, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kodai Senga STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-1, 75% +62 Miami Marlins Home Games: 2-3, 40% -180 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 43-46, 48% -1487 Miami Marlins Home Games: 48-33, 59% +1425
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-1, 75% +114 Miami Marlins Home Games: 2-3, 40% -180 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 39-50, 44% -2023 Miami Marlins Home Games: 46-35, 57% -143
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 1-3, 25% -230 Miami Marlins Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Mets Road Games: 45-32, 58% + 980 Miami Marlins Home Games: 45-28, 62% + 1420
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