March 28, 2025 6:21 AM EST

Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays 3/28/2025

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The Tampa Bay Rays are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Kyle Freeland. Ryan Pepiot has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 31% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.9 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 72%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 51%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Ryan McMahon who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 43% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Colorado RockiesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-0 No GamesRecord at Home0-0 No GamesN/A
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-0 No Gamesvs Team .500 or Better0-0 No GamesN/A
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite0-0 No GamesN/A
When Kyle Freeland Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Ryan Pepiot Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Colorado RockiesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-57, 30% -1438Record at Home42-39, 52% -460Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays1-2, 33% -59VS Colorado Rockies2-1, 67% 35Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team Under .50016-28, 36% -705vs Team Under .50031-24, 56% 21Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog24-56, 30% -1338Record As Home Favorite28-20, 58% 22Tampa Bay Rays
When Kyle Freeland Starts10-9, 53% 431When Ryan Pepiot Starts14-14, 50% -140Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 0-0 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 0-0 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 44-37, 54% +1940 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1127

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 0-0 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 0-0 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 57-24, 70% +572 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -697

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 0-0 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 0-0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 37-32, 54% + 180 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 39-35, 53% + 50

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