• Super Bowl 52 Prop Bets: Odds Analysis - Points

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Super Bowl Prop Bets – Analyst Preview & Pick

    The Super Bowl is right around the corner and that means one thing -- one final pro football matchup to wager on. Let's take a look at a few prop bets for this weekend's Super Bowl matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots.

    First quarter point total 9.5 [OVER 9.5 (-130), UNDER 9.5 (-Even)]

    This one popped out to us immediately. Is it possible that neither team scores a TD in the first quarter? Let's take a look at some recent trends.

    Only five of the last 16 Super Bowl matchups have yielded more than nine points in the first quarter.

    But someone has to score a TD, right? And someone has to put up a field goal along with that? Right? Okay, let's take it a bit further.

    In the last seven Super Bowl matchups the Patriots have been involved in, the average is just a shade over 2 points total in the first quarter.

    NFL offensive coordinators tend to be a bit more conservative to start Super Bowl matchups.

    While we don't necessarily have quarter by quarter data, the 10,000-plus simulations suggest taking the OVER. The projected final score is 30-21, which would indicate double-digit scoring in each quarter -- on average.

    Which team will score first? [Philadelphia Eagles (-105), New England Patriots (-125)]

    This one's tough. But looking at the Patriots' previous Super Bowl matchups, it's clear they're a second half team. They're not necessarily worried about coming out of the gates with all cylinders firing -- they know they can even come back from a 28-3 deficit.

    With that in mind, it seems like a logical wager to think the Eagles will come out a little more desperate to get a lead.

    Eagles QB Nick Foles is known for throwing the ball downfield early and often, and we know Philly will need an early score to establish some confidence.

    AccuScore's full forecast and expert picks for the Patriots vs the Eagles on Sunday are live:SuperBowl 52 Picks

    Margin of Victory
    • Eagles by 1-6 points, 4/1 odds
    • Eagles by 7-12 points, 15/2 odds
    • Eagles by 13-18 points, 14/1 odds
    • Eagles by 19-24 points, 25/1 odds
    • Eagles by 25-30 points, 40/1 odds
    • Eagles by 31-36 points, 66/1odds
    • Eagles by 37-42 points, 100/1 odds
    • Eagles by 43+ points, 100/1 odds
    • Patriots by 1-6 points, 3/1 odds
    • Patriots by 7-12 points, 4/1 odds
    • Patriots by 13-18 points, 6/1 odds
    • Patriots by 19-24 points, 9/1 odds
    • Patriots by 25-30 points, 16/1 odds
    • Patriots by 31-36 points, 25/1 odds
    • Patriots by 37-42 points, 40/1 odds
    • Patriots by 43+ points, 50/1 odds

    The Patriots, despite their ridiculous amount of success in the past 10 years, haven't won a Super Bowl by more than six points. Now we can see why some of those double-digit margins have such wild odds.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • Super Bowl 52: Eagles vs Patriots - Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Super Bowl 52- Eagles vs Patriots: Preview & Pick

    AccuScore's full forecast and expert picks for the Patriots vs the Eagles on Sunday are live:SuperBowl 52 Picks

    Not a member? This is the best time to join! Sign up now and you'll get ALL of AccuScore's 2018 NFL regular season picks + all of the 2019 NFL Playoffs... Join AccuScore Today!*

    *Use code SB25 for 25% off an ALL SPORTS membership: Limited time Offer!
    *First time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership.

    Super Bowl LII in Minnesota features the Philadelphia Eagles and oh-so-familiar New England Patriots in a matchup that has the defending champs favored by less than a touchdown. Let's take a closer look at the matchup and where the value is at.

    Vegas Odds

    New England opened as 6-point favorites before some public action brought the spread down a couple points. The total less movement compared to the spread, going up a point since it opened at 47.

    Betting Line: New England Patriots -4
    Total: 48

    At the time of publication, 55 percent of the public were taking the points and picking the Eagles.

    59 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

    What to Watch For

    Eagles Run-Pass Option: Nick Foles has excelled with the run-pass option since taking over for Carton Wentz as the Eagles' QB, having completed closed to 94 percent of his run-pass option passes, compared to 61.5 percent in non run-pass option sets. Interestingly enough, the Pats have struggled against the run-pass option, allowing 5.6 yards per play -- fifth most (worst) in the NFL.

    Foles is projected to finish with 273 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.

    Weapons: Brandin Cooks as an option downfield for Tom Brady has provided the team with a deep threat that the roster hasn't had in recent memory. With a minimum of 50 receptions, no player in the Tom Brady era has averaged more yards per reception in a season (16.6) than Cooks did in 2017. Taking it a step further, he led the league in defensive pass interference yards drawn -- accumulating a total of 209 yards on the season including playoffs so far.

    Cooks is projected to finish with 52 yards on 4 receptions. Brady is projected to finish with 278 passing yards and 2 TDs.

    Analyst's Pick
    Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

    ...New to AccuScore? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

    *Use code SB25 for 25% off an ALL SPORTS membership...sign up for an annual membership now and you'll get the ENTIRE 2018 NFL regular season and 2019 postseason. It's the best time to join!

    Other Previews: AccuScore's Super Bowl 52 Prop Bets - Odds & Picks