Super Bowl 52 Prop Bets: Odds Analysis - Points

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

Super Bowl Prop Bets – Analyst Preview & Pick

The Super Bowl is right around the corner and that means one thing -- one final pro football matchup to wager on. Let's take a look at a few prop bets for this weekend's Super Bowl matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots.

First quarter point total 9.5 [OVER 9.5 (-130), UNDER 9.5 (-Even)]

This one popped out to us immediately. Is it possible that neither team scores a TD in the first quarter? Let's take a look at some recent trends.

Only five of the last 16 Super Bowl matchups have yielded more than nine points in the first quarter.

But someone has to score a TD, right? And someone has to put up a field goal along with that? Right? Okay, let's take it a bit further.

In the last seven Super Bowl matchups the Patriots have been involved in, the average is just a shade over 2 points total in the first quarter.

NFL offensive coordinators tend to be a bit more conservative to start Super Bowl matchups.

While we don't necessarily have quarter by quarter data, the 10,000-plus simulations suggest taking the OVER. The projected final score is 30-21, which would indicate double-digit scoring in each quarter -- on average.

Which team will score first? [Philadelphia Eagles (-105), New England Patriots (-125)]

This one's tough. But looking at the Patriots' previous Super Bowl matchups, it's clear they're a second half team. They're not necessarily worried about coming out of the gates with all cylinders firing -- they know they can even come back from a 28-3 deficit.

With that in mind, it seems like a logical wager to think the Eagles will come out a little more desperate to get a lead.

Eagles QB Nick Foles is known for throwing the ball downfield early and often, and we know Philly will need an early score to establish some confidence.

AccuScore's full forecast and expert picks for the Patriots vs the Eagles on Sunday are live: SuperBowl 52 Picks

Margin of Victory
• Eagles by 1-6 points, 4/1 odds
• Eagles by 7-12 points, 15/2 odds
• Eagles by 13-18 points, 14/1 odds
• Eagles by 19-24 points, 25/1 odds
• Eagles by 25-30 points, 40/1 odds
• Eagles by 31-36 points, 66/1odds
• Eagles by 37-42 points, 100/1 odds
• Eagles by 43+ points, 100/1 odds
• Patriots by 1-6 points, 3/1 odds
• Patriots by 7-12 points, 4/1 odds
• Patriots by 13-18 points, 6/1 odds
• Patriots by 19-24 points, 9/1 odds
• Patriots by 25-30 points, 16/1 odds
• Patriots by 31-36 points, 25/1 odds
• Patriots by 37-42 points, 40/1 odds
• Patriots by 43+ points, 50/1 odds

The Patriots, despite their ridiculous amount of success in the past 10 years, haven't won a Super Bowl by more than six points. Now we can see why some of those double-digit margins have such wild odds.

Analyst's Pick
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