NFL Super Bowl 51 - Falcons v Patriots Prop Bets

Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Super Bowl 51 – Prop Bets: Part 1

Super Bowl LI features close to 400 prop bets in Las Vegas, with everything from who wins the coin toss to who scores first to even betting LeBron James' total points in the Feb. 4 Knicks-Cavaliers game versus Atlanta Falcons' QB Matt Ryan's completions.

We'll bring you a few articles over the next week looking at some of these props. For now, enjoy the discussion on some of the more simple prop bets listed in Vegas.

Favorite to win MVP

This is the most popular, and usually most wagered-upon prop bets in Super Bowl history - who's going to lead their team to victory?

Tom Brady opened up at 10:11 odds, with Falcons QB Matt Ryan at 8:5.

The value, though, seems to be on the stud receivers, with both Julio Jones and Julian Edleman paying out at 12:1 odds for Super Bowl MVP.

Projected Individual Stats

Tom Brady: 293 passing yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT, 107.6 passer rating
Julian Edleman: 69 yards on 6 receptions, averages 0.5 TDs per sim
LeGarrette Blount: 56 rushing yards, 8 carries, averages 0.6 TDs per sim
Matt Ryan: 326 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 90.8 passer rating
Julio Jones: 104 yards, 8 receptions, averages 0.5 TDs per sim

First Score of the Game

With how good placekickers are nowadays, you'd think the favored opening score prop would be a field goal. After all, it's the Super Bowl and defenses will do anything to limit red zone opportunities.

Surprisingly, though, the favored first score for Super Bowl LI is a TD pass, paying out at +250 on the money line. A field goal is paying out at +450 odds.

There have only been ine safeties in Super Bowl history, but the payout just might be too much to pass. For New England, a safety to start the game pays out at +6000; +7500 for Atlanta.

With Matt Bryant having kicked 34 off 37 FGs this season and Stephen Gostowski and 27-32, the FG prop bet to start the game is fairly appealing.

Note: Last year's Super Bowl opened with a field goal by Denver against Carolina. Two seasons ago when the Patriots beat Seattle, the first score of the game was a Brandon LaFell TD pass from Tom Brady.