Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears: Analyst Pick
The Baltimore Ravens will look to build on their 30-17 road win last week over Oakland as they host the Chicago Bears Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium. All signs point to a fairly dominant home victory for the Ravens, considering the Bears are 0-10 overall and 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 road games going back to last season.
Spread: Chicago Bears +6.5 (-110), Baltimore Ravens -6.5 (-110)
Total: OVER 38.5 (-110), UNDER 38.5 (-110)
The line opened at -7 for Baltimore and really hasn't seen a whole lot of movement from that line. Most books have it at -6.5 right now, with a few listing it at -6.
The total, though, has seen a bit more movement, dropping 3 points to 38.5 since opening at 41.5.
Chicago might be 1-4 on the season, but they're 3-2 ATS -- and the public is projected to be all over them as the Mitch Trubisky era gets underway.
Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 5
- All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 43-30-4, 58.9% +1,000
- All Side Value Picks: 44-31, 58.7% +1800
- All Totals Picks: 44-29-4, 60.3% +1210
All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4010 profit!
All of AccuScore's Week 6 NFL Picks
• The total has gone UNDER in four of the Bears' last five games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of the Ravens' last six games.
• The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games at home.
• The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
What to Watch For
Baltimore QB Joe Flacco is coming off his best game of the season as he completed over 73 percent of his passes in the victory over the Raiders. Zero INTs was a nice change in momentum since he had six INTs through the first four weeks.
Flacco is projected to finish with 272 yards and 1 TD. He has nearly three times the probability of throwing a TD vs an INT.
Bears QB Mitch Trubisky had an average performance in his first game last week, showing some flashes of potential, but finishing with just 128 passing yards. Still, the Bears were competitive against Minnesota in the 20-17 loss.
Trubisky is projected to finish with 190 pasing yards, averaging 0.8 TDs per sim vs 0.5 INTs per sim.
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