Written by AccuScore Staff

Champions League: Man City vs Dortmund Preview

Manchester City, the defending champions of England are set to host Borussia Dortmund tonight at the Etihad Stadium. Both teams won in dominating fashion last weekend. Manchester City’s result showed a late Eden Dzeko winner for a narrow 2-1 victory at Craven Cottage, but the Citizens completely dominated the match.

The Aguero and Tevez partnership looked a real threat and Yaya Toure continued his strong argument that he is the best midfielder in the Premier League. One would have a hard time arguing with Yaya’s ability to defend, dribble, pass, and move forward.

For this match, AccuScore’s simulation engine performed 10,000 simulations using only team and player statistics to calculate value and make picks.

Free Champions League picks: Man City vs Dortmund

1. Borussia Dortmund +0.5 at 2.080
Simulations resulted in a 32% chance of Dortmund winning and 28% chance at a draw. The oddsmakers currently 21.3% chance of a Dortmund win and a 26.1% chance of a draw. This means AccuScore finds value in picking both Dortmund and the draw, as 60% of simulations resulted in either a Dortmund win or a draw. At better than even money, the computer recommends this pick.

2. Under 2.5 and 3 at 2.090
51% of Accuscore’s simulation resulted in the two teams combining for the Under 2.5 and 3 goals. The Under is offering better than even money, once again. Picking Over/Unders can be a total coinflip. If it is like a coin flip, the computer calculated your odds to be better than a coin flip, and the odds offer better than even money. AccuScore’s compute picks the Under 2.5 and 3.

Every Friday, AccuScore’s Director of Football performs odds analysis for the upcoming weekend and makes members only Director’s picks. He’s 8-6 on the season but with an impressive $379 unit profit and winning weekends the last two weeks. Last season, he was 57-34 with +3,486 units in profit. Sign up for a free 7 day trial membership and get all our expert’s picks for this week