Indiana is a slightly over 57% favorite in this game. One key reason is that The Thunder are shooting 43.5% from the field, but the Pacers are forecasted to shoot 47.4%. Also the rebounding advantage is tilting the scale towards Indiana as they are predicted to take 46.3 rebounds against 44.4 to the Thunder.
The point spread line is -1.5 Indiana, so The Thunder can lose with a single point and still cover the bets. However, predictions give only 45.8% probability for this while Indiana’s chances to cover 1.5 extra points at the end of the game are 54.1%, The total line is set in Vegas to 211.5. Like many times during this season, Accuscore is predicting this to stay UNDER with 57.9% probability.
This game has been promoted in ESPN as a matchup between Russell Westbrook and Victor Oladipo. Based on Accuscore’s fantasy predictions, Wesbrook will take highest numbers in every category: points, rebounds and assists. Simulations predict that he has around 50% probability to reach number 44 when combining points, rebounds and assists.