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College Football Previews 2018: SEC Predictions
Written by Rohit Ghosh
The Winner: Could we have a situation where both Alabama (11 wins) and Georgia (10.5 wins) get to the SEC championship without a loss? More than a fighting chance for that to happen, considering the talent these programs have, but AccuScore sim data suggets Alabama gets to above 11 wins, with Georgia around 10. The data would actually suggest the UNDERs for Georgia.
The UNDER x2: We've got two suggestions here in lieu of an OVER pick. AccuScore sim data suggests taking the UNDER on Tennessee's win total, with the Vols averaging around 4-to-5 wins this season.
Also, there's a heavy lean on the UNDER for Mississippi State's win total (8). They win closer to five-to-six games in simulations, suggesting some value on the pick. They have a tough road matchup at Kansas State in early September, with even tougher road matchups later in the calendar vs LSU, Alabama, Aurburn and Texas A&M.
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Stay Away: People are expecting Joe Burrow to make a big difference for LSU this season, but AccuScore sim data just isn't as confident. Their total is set at 7 wins and they win closer to 6 in simulations. They have a tough schedule in September with Miami and Auburn on the slate, followed by matchups with Florida, Georgia, Mississippi State and Alabama -- things can go either way so we'd suggest staying away.
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