Written by Rohit Ghosh
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No. 7 Nebraska vs No. 11 Wisconsin
Nebraska and Wisconsin match up this Saturday in a contest that has a direct impact on who takes control of the Big Ten West Division.
Nebraska heads into Week 9 sitting atop the standings in the division, but they've yet to face the tougher opponents on their schedule, including a Badgers team that has three of its next five games at home.
Wisconsin's sitting at .500 ball in conference play, falling to Michigan and Ohio State this season. They had a strong outing against the Buckeyes and Wolverines, though, staying competitive 30-23 and 14-7, respectively. Coach Paul Chryst is starting to establish some continuity with the program and they still have a chance to reach the Playoffs if they can win out the remaining games.
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Vegas Odds vs AccuScore sims
At the time of publication, Wisconsin's listed as a 9-point favorite, with the total set at 43. The line opened a couple points lower at -7, and total jumped up from 40.5.
AccuScore sim data, however, has Wisconsin as just 4-point favorites, suggesting ATS and ML value on the visiting side.
Check out AccuScore's full simulation for this matchup to get the best bets and hot-trend picks
What to Watch For
Nebraska's biggest turnaround from last season comes in the turnover department, currently sitting at a plus-5 turnover margin compared to the minus-12 figure they finished with last season.
Wisconsin's offense averages slightly more turnovers per simulated matchup than does Nebraska's.
The Cornhuskers are 5-0 straight up (SU) in their last 5 games.
-The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Cornhuskers' last 5 games.
-Looking back a couple season, the Cornhuskers are 13-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 16 games on the road.
-The Cornhuskers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
-The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Badgers' last 11 games at home