2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket East Region Predictions

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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: East Region Predictions

Zion Williamson and the Duke Blue Devils will draw more eyeballs than any other team, but winning the tournament and having the no. 1 pick in the NBA Draft don't necessarily go hand-in-hand.

Duke is projected to cruise in its opening matchup before drawing VCU after the team from Virginia knocks off UCF in its opening round matchup. This region isn't exactly stuffed with upsets in the early going, but the Maryland-Belmont appears to be the best matchup to pick the early upset. Both teams win 50% of simulations, but Maryland gets the slightest of edges, so the computer has Maryland going through to meet LSU after the Tigers knock out the Ivy League's Yale comfortably in the first game.

Michigan State is projected to make easy work of Bradley in the Spartans' first game, before knocking out Louisville to arrive at the Sweet 16. The Michigan State-LSU matchup favors Michigan 62% to 38%, before the Spartans meet Williamson and the Blue Devils in the Elite 8.

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Before arriving at the Elite 8, the Blue Devils have to get past Virginia Tech, which is projected to only slightly edge Mississippi State in the second round to make the second weekend of the tournament. That matchup, the Virginia Tech versus Miss. State is a near toss-up, according to the computer, with Virginia Tech only winning 52% of simulations.

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Duke is projected to beat Virginia Tech with 61% confidence before meeting Michigan State with a trip to the Final Four. Michigan State is projected to upset Duke in the Elite 8, but Duke's road to the Elite 8 is easier that MSU's , so the Blue Devils still have a higher percentage chance to advance to the Final Four, 32.0%, and win the title, 8.24% than the Spartans, 29.1% and 7.9% respectively.

Still, AccucScore projects a close Elite 8, with Michigan State pulling the upset 51% of the time to advance to the Final Four.

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South Region
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Midwest Region

2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Midwest Region Predictions

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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: Midwest Region Predictions

The University of North Carolina came a couple of Zion Williamson plays away from knocking off Duke in the ACC semifinals, and the Tar Heels are anything but pushovers. After all, "the ceiling is the roof," as Michael Jordan so eloquently said. Needless to say, UNC is projected to waltz past its first two games and into the Sweet 16. Cameron Johnson, Coby White and Luke Maye form a potent trio of heads to cut off before anyone can conquer the snake. As such, Carolina's first test will come in the Sweet 16, when Auburn steps forward after being projected to upset Kansas in the second round of the tournament. That said, UNC is 61% to bet Auburn, and that number actually pops up to 66% if Kansas advances to to the Sweet 16.

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Kentucky, likewise, dominates the other end of the Midwest region, with a cakewalk in its first two games. Houston, however, is no joke, and the Cougars come into the tournament with a 31-3 season, after losing to Cincinnati in the American Conference Tournament. Houston is projected to demolish Georgia State before comfortably crushing Iowa State to advance to the Sweet 16 and a date with Kentucky.

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While North Carolina is projected to beat Auburn with a 61% to 39% edge, the matchup between Kentucky and Houston is much closer at 52% to 48%. Kentucky does advance, but the cakewalk ends by the time the Sweet 16 rolls around, with games only getting closer in the Elite 8.

There isn't much to separate Kentucky and UNC, especially with a trip to the Final Four on the line. However, North Carolina gets the slightest of edges in a head-to-head matchup, with 51% of simulations go to North Carolina to advance. Overall, North Carolina has a 8.9% chance of winning the tournament according to AccuScore and 30.0% chance of making the Final Four. Kentucky's odds of winning the tournament aren't much worse at 7.2%, and the Wildcats have a 25.6% chance of advancing to the Final Four.

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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket South Region Predictions

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2019 NCAA Tournament Bracket Analysis: South Region Predictions

Virginia has a 16.56% chance to win the tournament, which is the highest probability of any team in the field, according to AccuScore's simulations.

As such, it shouldn't come any any surprise the Virginia Cavaliers have a 98% probability of advancing past their opening game. One of the best matchup of the first round is Saint Mary's and Villanova, with the Nova getting a 58% edge over Saint Mary's. The closest matchup in the region, however, is Ole Miss and Oklahoma with the Sooners projected to top Ole Miss 65-61 in a close matchup.

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On the other side of the region, Tennessee is a heavy favorite to advance alongside Cincy, with the Volunteers getting a 60-40 edge over Cincinnati to advance to the Sweet 16. Meanwhile, Purdue is expected to meet the winner of Nova and Saint Mary's. If Purdue meets Tennessee, the edge is 71% for Tennessee to advance to the second weekend, while at matchup against Villanova gives Purdue a 57% chance of making it to the Sweet 16.

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Wisconsin is expected to topple the Pac-12's Oregon and meet Kent State, after Kent State knocks out UC Irvine, the Big West Champs. Wisconsin is projected to upset Kent State according to AccuScore's simulations and advance to the Sweet 16, but that matchup is close, with the Badgers winning 54% of simulations in the head-to-head matchup.

Not surprisingly, Virginia is projected to comfortably move past Wisconsin and make the Elite 8, where Tennesee is projected to top Purdue in a close game, 56% to 44%.

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Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
East Region
West Region
Midwest Region