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2019 NBA Finals: Warriors Heavy Favorites Over Raptors

This shouldn't come as a shocker: The Golden State Warriors are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Raptors. AccuScore's 10,000 simulations on the series have the Warriors winning nearly 80% of the time, which means the current Vegas odds at Warriors to win at -280 offer notable value. The longer the series goes, the better the Raptors' odds of winning the series, with Game 7 providing Toronto its best chance of pulling the upset..

The Warriors' best odds of winning the series come in Game 6 on their home court, with a five-game gentleman's sweep the next most likely outcome of the series. A true sweep has a nearly 18% chance, which points to how poorly this series could go for the Raptors even if Kevin Durant isn't around to start the series. The Warriors actually have a better chance of winning in four games than they have of winning in seven games. If the series goes to a decisive 7th game, the Raptors will have home court advantage and the mismatch turns into a slightly deformed coin flip. The Warriors technically still have the edge in a Game 7, but the last time the Warriors ended up in Game 7 of the Finals, things did not turn out well for the crew from Golden State.

For the start of the series, at least, it should be fascinating to watch Stephen Curry lead the Warriors against Kawhi Leonard and the Toronto Raptors in Canada.

AccuScore has expert picks for every game of the 2019 NBA Finals, against the spread, side value and on totals.
NBA Finals Expert Picks

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