Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Analyst Football Picks: NFL Week 9 MNF

Remember when the New York Giants were 3-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in September and early October? Coming off a bye week, they enter this Week 9 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts with back-to-back double digit losses in the last two games played. Having gone 0-2 SU and ATS in those, the Colts have a very high probability of getting this road victory.

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Projected Leaders

Andrew Luck: 320 yards, 1 TD, 90.1 Passer Rating

Eli Manning: 290 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 82.9 Passer Rating

Ahmad Bradshaw: 12 carries, 58 yards

Peyton Hillis: 9 carries, 48 yds

Reggie Wayne: 6 receptions, 78 yds

Rueben Randle: 9 receptions, 150 yds

Betting Trends

● Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.

● Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

● The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 10 games.

● Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.

● NY Giants is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home.

● The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games at home.

AccuScore has expert picks against the spread and on the Over/Under for every game: Click here - NFL Expert Picks

What to Watch For

Andrew Luck Dominating: Andrew Luck has six consecutive games of throwing at least 300 yards, breaking the record of five set by Peyton Manning back in 2009. Luck will be aiming to set the NFL record of 10, breaking Drew Brees' 9 from 2011 and 2012. Luck is projected to finish this week’s matchup with 320 yards.

Colts Turnover Margin: The Colts have a 37 percent chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. A positive turnover margin increases their winning probability to 75 percent.

Difference in Manning's Game: After leading the league with 27 INTs last season, it's obvious the Giants are making it a point to turn the ball over less. As a result, the Giants are relying much more heavily on the run and short-passing game. Manning is currently No. 22 in the league in passing yards, not so much due to a decline in talent, but more so a side-effect of a different offensive scheme. According to Dan Graziano of ESPN.com, 67 percent of Manning's throws have gone fewer than 10 yards down the field. Last season, it was 61; 62 the previous one.