Author: Jake Ciely, Senior Writer

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a high-scoring option on your bench. I developed it years ago, and it accounts for defensive quality of play by position, adjusts for game situations and strength of offenses and spits out an adjusted Fantasy Points allowed. Using Fantasy Football Points allowed is valuable in itself to help make lineup decisions, but it’s imperfect, as a team facing Carson Wentz should give up more points and passing yards than one facing Joe Flacco every week. This isn’t a tool to argue benching Mike Evans for Terrance Williams, but it helps you decide which RB3 is a better play or which WR4 could put up a WR2 type Week 10.

Fantasy Football Week 10 Matchup Rankings

QB Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1San Francisco 49ersNYG24.115Cleveland BrownsDET14.5
2Seattle SeahawksARI23.816New Orleans SaintsBUF14.1
3New York GiantsSAF23.417Arizona CardinalsSEA13.3
4Los Angeles RamsHOU23.318Cincinnati BengalsTEN13.0
5Tampa Bay BuccaneersNYJ21.719Tennessee TitansCIN12.9
6Denver BroncosNE21.320Buffalo BillsNO12.8
7New York JetsTB20.121New England PatriotsDEN12.7
8Chicago BearsGB19.922Jacksonville JaguarsLAC11.5
9Pittsburgh SteelersIND19.123Miami DolphinsCAR10.7
10Atlanta FalconsDAL17.824Houston TexansLAR10.4
11Minnesota VikingsWSH17.625Green Bay PackersCHI9.6
12Detroit LionsCLE17.326Washington RedskinsMIN9.5
13Dallas CowboysATL16.127Indianapolis ColtsPIT9.3
14Carolina PanthersMIA15.228Los Angeles ChargersJAX6.6

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Philip Rivers

There is a good chance that the Buccaneers offense is better with Fitzpatrick than it was with Jameis Winston. If nothing else, Winston’s injury was sapping his ability the past few games. Fitzpatrick isn’t afraid to sling it and has made his receivers Fantasy viable throughout his career. On his own, Fitzpatrick has several seasons averaging 16-plus points per game and hit 16-plus in every game but one as recently as 2015. Yes, the loss of Mike Evans hurts (suspension), but when it comes to streaming options, you could do much worse, such as the next quarterback.

That quarterback is Rivers. The Chargers can come out of the bye fired up if they want to, but it will matter little for the passing game. It doesn’t get any worse than this when it comes to matchups, as the Jaguars have a league-best 6.6 quarterback FPAD. With how strong the Steelers are against the pass, they are second at 9.3. Not one quarterback has topped 14 Fantasy points against the Jaguars, and they have allowed just four passing touchdowns all year. Forget about Rivers this week.

Also Good:Jared Goff – He’s not a great quarterback, but he’s improved and Sean McVay is a master when it comes to fixing the Rams offense.

Also Bad:Jay Cutler – Bad Cutler can show up any week, and a matchup with the Panthers points to this being one of them.

Other Matchup Boosted QBs: Russell Wilson, Eli Manning, Josh McCown, Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan

RB Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1New York GiantsSAF32.415Buffalo BillsNO17.0
2Pittsburgh SteelersIND26.516Atlanta FalconsDAL16.3
3New York JetsTB26.017New Orleans SaintsBUF15.8
4Chicago BearsGB24.418Tennessee TitansCIN15.7
5San Francisco 49ersNYG21.619Carolina PanthersMIA14.7
6Minnesota VikingsWSH21.220Indianapolis ColtsPIT14.3
7Jacksonville JaguarsLAC20.921Cincinnati BengalsTEN13.6
8Dallas CowboysATL20.722New England PatriotsDEN12.7
9Cleveland BrownsDET20.523Los Angeles ChargersJAX12.5
10Green Bay PackersCHI20.024Detroit LionsCLE12.2
11Denver BroncosNE20.025Arizona CardinalsSEA12.2
12Houston TexansLAR19.126Washington RedskinsMIN11.2
13Seattle SeahawksARI18.127Los Angeles RamsHOU10.9
14Tampa Bay BuccaneersNYJ17.128Miami DolphinsCAR10.4

Orleans Darkwa vs. Rob Kelley

week 10 defense

Kupp could have a Robert Woods-like performance this week. AP Photo/Matt Dunham

Darkwa has been surprising us for a few weeks now, especially that performance we saw against the Broncos. Darkwa is a decent running back who runs where he’s told, but that can be a problem if the line isn’t getting a push or opening holes. Fortunately, the Giants offensive line has been playing better of late (one of the few bright spots), and they continue to use Darkwa as the lead option. If the game were to get out of hand, we would see much less of Darkwa, but it’s the 49ers. Not only do they have the highest RB FPAD by far, but they have so many offensive issues that they shouldn’t have the lead for most of the game. A close game and porous defense means plenty of opportunities for Darkwa.

As for Kelley, don’t count on him scoring two touchdowns again. In fact, one is a stretch, as the Vikings defense is among the best in the league. They have allowed just two rushing touchdowns all season, and only three running backs have reached double-digit Non-PPR points. Kelley had just 18 yards last week, which marked his third straight game with fewer than 20 yards rushing. Yea, good luck using Kelley against the Vikings. Chasing touchdowns can lead to trouble, especially with a running back that rarely gains yards and a defense that rarely gives them up.

Also Good:Matt Forte or Bilal Powell – Forte has become a trustworthy RB3 at this point, but if he is out (knee), Powell will be in the RB2 conversation.

Also Bad:Damien WilliamsKenyan Drake is clearly the better talent, and the Panthers are the toughest matchup, making it unlikely for both to have value.

Other Matchup Boosted RBs: Le’Veon Bell, Jordan Howard, Carlos Hyde, Jerick McKinnon, Leonard Fournette, Ezekiel Elliott?

WR Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1Seattle SeahawksARI30.715New Orleans SaintsBUF18.3
2Chicago BearsGB30.316Jacksonville JaguarsLAC18.1
3Los Angeles RamsHOU29.517Detroit LionsCLE17.5
4Denver BroncosNE29.518Minnesota VikingsWSH15.7
5New York JetsTB28.419Cincinnati BengalsTEN15.3
6San Francisco 49ersNYG28.120Buffalo BillsNO15.3
7Pittsburgh SteelersIND27.421Miami DolphinsCAR14.7
8Atlanta FalconsDAL26.622Tennessee TitansCIN14.1
9Tampa Bay BuccaneersNYJ25.423Green Bay PackersCHI13.4
10Arizona CardinalsSEA25.424Washington RedskinsMIN12.9
11Cleveland BrownsDET23.725Indianapolis ColtsPIT12.8
12New York GiantsSAF21.526Houston TexansLAR12.1
13Dallas CowboysATL19.627New England PatriotsDEN10.8
14Carolina PanthersMIA18.528Los Angeles ChargersJAX10.3

Cooper Kupp vs. Will Fuller

Interesting stat for you: Kupp leads the league with 15 red zone targets. With Jared Goff and this offense clicking, a matchup with the Texans weak defense is a pretty sight. It’s becoming a bit tricky to pick between the three Rams receivers at this point, but there are two factors working in Kupp’s favor. First, the aforementioned red zone targets are significantly more than Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins targets. Second, the Texans high 29.5 FPAD is carried by their specific inability to stop slot receivers. Kareem Jackson has been one of the worst corners and will cover Kupp a good amount. Look for Kupp to take advantage.

Not surprisingly, quarterback play can greatly affect receiver performance. No more Deshaun Watson means no more Fuller value. It would have been a tough matchup to begin with on the other side of the Rams matchup, as only the Broncos and Jaguars have lower FPADs. Fuller is a big play receiver with a quarterback that struggles to make them. On top of that, the Rams allow just 6.8 YPC. You will need to find another option in Week 10.

Also Good:Demaryius Thomas – If playing, the one good thing about Brock Osweiler is that he peppers DmT with targets.

Also Bad:Tyrell Williams – You don’t want to start Rivers, so why would you risk any of his receivers outside of Keenan Allen?

Other Matchup Boosted WRs: Doug Baldwin, Robby Anderson, Marquise Goodwin, Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, DeSean Jackson

TE Matchup Rankings

RankTeamOppFPADRankTeamOppFPAD
1San Francisco 49ersNYG15.915New York GiantsSAF6.8
2New England PatriotsDEN15.116Arizona CardinalsSEA6.6
3Tampa Bay BuccaneersNYJ13.517Cincinnati BengalsTEN6.3
4Detroit LionsCLE11.918New York JetsTB5.9
5Minnesota VikingsWSH11.219Atlanta FalconsDAL5.8
6Los Angeles RamsHOU11.220Houston TexansLAR5.4
7New Orleans SaintsBUF10.821Los Angeles ChargersJAX5.3
8Carolina PanthersMIA10.122Washington RedskinsMIN5.0
9Seattle SeahawksARI9.223Dallas CowboysATL4.9
10Cleveland BrownsDET8.724Jacksonville JaguarsLAC4.8
11Tennessee TitansCIN8.225Buffalo BillsNO4.7
12Pittsburgh SteelersIND7.926Green Bay PackersCHI4.6
13Denver BroncosNE7.527Indianapolis ColtsPIT4.5
14Miami DolphinsCAR7.428Chicago BearsGB3.1

Kyle Rudolph vs. Hunter Henry

This is a bit more DFS slanted, as if you have a capable tight end at this point, you’re starting him. Even with Jack Doyle facing the Steelers, who could you possibly bench him for? Coby Fleener? C’mon buddy. The Redskins have quietly crept near the top of the tight end matchups with an 11.2 FPAD. Even with a banged up Jimmy Graham last week, the Redskins still let him finish with 59 yards and Luke Willson to catch a 10-yard touchdown. Rudolph has been freed since Dalvin Cook was lost for the season and has 50.2 PPR points in the last four games.

With Henry, there is always a chance that he finds the end zone, but adding Mike Williams to the number of options for Rivers muddies the picture even more. There are seven legitimate receiving options for Rivers with Williams, Keenan Allen, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, Henry, Antonio Gates and Melvin Gordon out of the backfield. While Gates has fallen back, Henry’s two-reception, 11-yard game against the Patriots shows his risk. The Jaguars are strong against the tight end as well with just one Non-PPR double-digit game allowed and four in PPR (two of which came with a touchdown). Henry is a significant risk.

Other Matchup Boosted TEs: Rob Gronkowski, Cameron Brate, Eric Ebron, Jimmy Graham

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