May 04, 2024 5:11 AM CDT

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins 5/4/2024

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 52.1 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Bruins. The Bruins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 24, Jeremy Swayman 28 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.7, David Pastrnak 5 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.58, David Pastrnak 0.64 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 56% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-18, 59% 236Record at Home25-19, 57% -415Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Boston Bruins3-7, 30% -368VS Toronto Maple Leafs7-3, 70% 328Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better22-23, 49% -437vs Team .500 or Better26-20, 57% 145Boston Bruins
Record As Road Underdog8-8, 50% 66Record As Home Favorite25-19, 57% -415Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off42-33, 56% -5108After 1 or More Days Off46-30, 61% -5033Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 70Record at Home2-4, 33% -239Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Boston Bruins3-3, 50% 32VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-3, 50% -33Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -97vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% -133Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -59Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -239Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off5-6, 45% -575After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -816Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-18, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-24, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home45-30, 60% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road35-40, 47% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 25-19, 57% -729 Boston Bruins Home Games: 27-17, 61% +912 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-3, 57% +111 Boston Bruins Home Games: 6-0, 100% +683

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 26-18, 59% +64 Boston Bruins Home Games: 23-21, 52% +-734 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-3, 57% -15 Boston Bruins Home Games: 2-4, 33% -239

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 29-15, 66% + 1139 Boston Bruins Home Games: 22-22, 50% -198 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 255 Boston Bruins Home Games: 1-5, 17% -409

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