Expert Preview/Pick - 2016 Holiday Bowl

Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Minnesota vs Washington State - National Funding Holiday Bowl

What to Watch For

All signs point to a fairly one-sided contest Tuesday as Washington State heads into the National Funding Holiday Bowl against Minnesota with the second-ranked passing offense in the country. The Golden Gophers, on the other hand, are ranked No. 108 in the nation in the air - throwing more INTs (12) than passing TDs (8).

We still don't know if Washington State QB Luke Falk will return in 2017, but expect him to finish this year with a bang knowing NFL scouts are watching his every step.

Minnesota did limit opponents to 6.3 yards per attempt in the air, and Falk's 7.2 yard per attempt average indicates the Golden Gopher defense could have some success in forcing Washington State to win on the ground. Minnesota's porous secondary won't be able to handle the Cougars' passing attack - if they can't force some action on the ground early on, expect Washington State to pull away easily.

He heads into this matchup with 37 TDs for the 2016 regular season, completing 71 of his attempts for 4,204 yards. He's projected to throw for three-plus touchdowns in Tuesday's game.

AccuScore’s 2016 Bowl Picks…every game: AccuScore is 10-3 in picking Bowl Games on the moneyline in 2016 and 8-3-2 against the spread during Bowl season… Click Here for all of AccuScore's 2016 College Football Bowl Picks

Best Bet(s)

There are two hot-trend picks listed for this matchup, one on the point spread and one on the total.

Whereas the total listed in Vegas is 61, AccuScore simulation data has it listed 3 points higher at 64, indicating a pick on the OVER. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 38-28, in favor of the Cougars.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in four of the Gophers' last six games. [Supports AccuScore sim data.]
• The total has gone OVER in four of the Cougars' last six games. [Supports AccuScore sim data.]
• Washington State is 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last 22 games.
• Minnesota is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games.