May 06, 2024 6:09 PM CDT

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies 5/6/2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-5 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 6-12 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Mason Black ®. Zack Wheeler has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mason Black ® has a 19% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 79%. In Mason Black ® quality starts the Giants win 51%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Zack Wheeler who averaged 3.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 80% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Wilmer Flores who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 41% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-12, 33% -593Record at Home13-5, 72% 281Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200VS San Francisco Giants2-0, 100% 126Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better5-10, 33% -516vs Team .500 or Better5-1, 83% 424Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog4-9, 31% -461Record As Home Favorite11-4, 73% 164Philadelphia Phillies
When Mason Black ® Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Zack Wheeler Starts4-3, 57% -54San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -340Record at Home10-2, 83% 297Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-2, 0% -200VS San Francisco Giants2-0, 100% 126Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -445vs Team .500 or Better4-1, 80% 264Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -208Record As Home Favorite10-2, 83% 297Philadelphia Phillies
When Mason Black ® Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Zack Wheeler Starts3-2, 60% -59San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-7, 61% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-9, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Mason Black ® STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS2-5, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 10-8, 56% +244 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-6, 67% +238 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-5, 55% +136 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-2, 83% +405

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 10-8, 56% -8 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-6, 67% +69 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-5, 55% +43 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-2, 83% +297

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 14-4, 78% + 960 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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