May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals 5/4/2024

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The Kansas City Royals are 13-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 7-7 on the road this season. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Michael Wacha is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Dane Dunning. Michael Wacha has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dane Dunning has a 45% chance of a QS. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Royals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 60%. In Dane Dunning quality starts the Rangers win 63%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Salvador Perez who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Nathaniel Lowe who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Texas RangersRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% 65Record at Home13-5, 72% 677Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals0-1, 0% -100VS Texas Rangers1-0, 100% 93Kansas City Royals
vs Team .500 or Better11-9, 55% 20vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -300Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -114Record as Home Underdog8-4, 67% 450Kansas City Royals
When Dane Dunning Starts4-2, 67% 219When Michael Wacha Starts2-4, 33% -248Texas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Texas RangersRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -48Record at Home12-3, 80% 772Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals0-1, 0% -100VS Texas Rangers1-0, 100% 93Kansas City Royals
vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -229vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -252Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -114Record as Home Underdog7-2, 78% 545Kansas City Royals
When Dane Dunning Starts3-2, 60% 115When Michael Wacha Starts2-3, 40% -148Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-6, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-12, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-10, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-47, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-35, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dane Dunning STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS1-5, 17% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 11-3, 79% +690 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 11-7, 61% +221 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-2, 82% +577 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-5, 67% +338

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 10-4, 71% +430 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-8, 56% +21 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +157 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 9-6, 60% +138

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 11-6, 65% + 440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450

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