May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies 5/4/2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-5 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 6-11 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Keaton Winn. Ranger Suarez has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Keaton Winn has a 36% chance of a QS. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 73%. In Keaton Winn quality starts the Giants win 50%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 50% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Ranger Suarez who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Keaton Winn who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 41% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-11, 35% -493Record at Home12-5, 71% 223Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-1, 0% -100VS San Francisco Giants1-0, 100% 68Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -595vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% -59Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog4-8, 33% -361Record As Home Favorite10-4, 71% 106Philadelphia Phillies
When Keaton Winn Starts3-3, 50% -28When Ranger Suarez Starts6-0, 100% 464Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -240Record at Home9-2, 82% 239Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-1, 0% -100VS San Francisco Giants1-0, 100% 68Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better6-7, 46% -252vs Team .500 or Better6-1, 86% 385Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -108Record As Home Favorite9-2, 82% 239Philadelphia Phillies
When Keaton Winn Starts3-2, 60% 72When Ranger Suarez Starts5-0, 100% 352Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco GiantsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-7, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-9, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Keaton Winn STARTS1-5, 17% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS1-5, 17% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 9-8, 53% +186 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 11-6, 65% +180 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-5, 50% +78 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-2, 82% +347

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 9-8, 53% -66 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 11-6, 65% +11 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-5, 50% -15 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-2, 82% +239

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 14-3, 82% + 1070 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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