The Arizona Diamondbacks are 8-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 9-6 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Michael King. Brandon Pfaadt has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael King has a 25% chance of a QS. If Brandon Pfaadt has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 64%. In Michael King quality starts the Padres win 61%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Michael King who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 312 | Record at Home | 8-9, 47% -371 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 93 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-10, 44% -389 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-8, 56% -83 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 327 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-5, 58% -67 | San Diego Padres |
| When Michael King Starts | 3-3, 50% 30 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 2-4, 33% -236 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 167 | Record at Home | 4-6, 40% -275 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 93 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% -62 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% -10 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 182 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -171 | San Diego Padres |
| When Michael King Starts | 2-3, 40% -41 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 1-4, 20% -280 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-8, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-11, 35% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-10, 33% -397 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-13, 24% -966 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-10, 29% -542 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-7, 30% -449
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-9, 40% -492 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-9, 47% -413 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-8, 43% -392 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-6, 40% -317
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-8, 43% -280 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
