The New York Mets are 7-6 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 9-9 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Christian Scott ® is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Zack Littell. Christian Scott ® has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Littell has a 46% chance of a QS. If Christian Scott ® has a quality start the Mets has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 54%. In Zack Littell quality starts the Rays win 65%. He has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Richie Palacios who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 338 | Record at Home | 9-9, 50% -202 | New York Mets |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 72 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-5, 50% -107 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-10, 50% -240 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-6, 50% 247 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-6, 54% -92 | New York Mets |
| When Christian Scott ® Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Zack Littell Starts | 2-4, 33% -251 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 338 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -17 | New York Mets |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 72 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% 105 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -142 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-6, 50% 247 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -7 | New York Mets |
| When Christian Scott ® Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Zack Littell Starts | 1-4, 20% -324 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-6, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-38, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Christian Scott ® STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% +222 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-12, 33% -668 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% +126 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-9, 18% -736
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% -56 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-10, 44% -346 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-6, 54% -56 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-8, 27% -574
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-9, 18% -790 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-12, 29% -820 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-9, 18% -790 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580
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