May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 5/4/2024

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The Chicago Cubs are 10-4 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 13-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Jameson Taillon is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Tobias Myers. Jameson Taillon has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tobias Myers has a 37% chance of a QS. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Cubs has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. In Tobias Myers quality starts the Brewers win 69%. He has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Jameson Taillon who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Tobias Myers who averaged 3.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-4, 76% 966Record at Home10-4, 71% 419Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs1-0, 100% 106VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better12-6, 67% 640vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -47Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog9-2, 82% 825Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% -45Milwaukee Brewers
When Tobias Myers Starts0-1, 0% -100When Jameson Taillon Starts3-0, 100% 260Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-4, 71% 653Record at Home7-4, 64% 279Milwaukee Brewers
VS Chicago Cubs1-0, 100% 106VS Milwaukee Brewers0-1, 0% -100Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% 97vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -32Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog7-2, 78% 608Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40% -185Milwaukee Brewers
When Tobias Myers Starts0-1, 0% -100When Jameson Taillon Starts3-0, 100% 260Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-8, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-46, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Tobias Myers STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-7, 59% +123 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-8, 43% -231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -94 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-5, 55% +69

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-7, 59% +191 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-5, 64% +102 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -122 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-5, 55% -38

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -70 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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