May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Miami Marlins vs Oakland Athletics 5/4/2024

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Oakland Athletics are 8-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 4-10 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics starter Paul Blackburn is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Trevor Rogers. Paul Blackburn has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 52% chance of a QS. If Paul Blackburn has a quality start the Athletics has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 57%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 62%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Tyler Nevin who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm Jr. who averaged 1.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Miami MarlinsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-10, 29% -472Record at Home8-9, 47% -121Oakland Athletics
VS Oakland Athletics0-1, 0% -100VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 75Oakland Athletics
vs Team Under .5005-12, 29% -766vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 331Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog4-10, 29% -472Record As Home Favorite3-0, 100% 226Oakland Athletics
When Trevor Rogers Starts0-6, 0% -600When Paul Blackburn Starts5-1, 83% 509Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Miami MarlinsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-10, 29% -472Record at Home7-3, 70% 382Oakland Athletics
VS Oakland Athletics0-1, 0% -100VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 75Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better5-16, 24% -902vs Team Under .5007-3, 70% 577Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog4-10, 29% -472Record As Home Favorite3-0, 100% 226Oakland Athletics
When Trevor Rogers Starts0-5, 0% -500When Paul Blackburn Starts4-1, 80% 412Oakland Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami MarlinsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-9, 31% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-10, 41% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-46, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Paul Blackburn STARTS2-4, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-5, 64% +304 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 6-11, 35% -594 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-5, 64% +115 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-6, 40% -263

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-5, 64% -6 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 7-10, 41% -492 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-5, 64% -6 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-6, 40% -321

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 9-7, 56% + 130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio