May 04, 2024 6:41 AM CDT

Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians 5/4/2024

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The Cleveland Guardians are 8-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Ben Lively is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Reid Detmers. Ben Lively has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Reid Detmers has a 50% chance of a QS. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.8 and he has a 60% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 60%. In Reid Detmers quality starts the Angels win 57%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Taylor Ward who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-10, 41% -186Record at Home8-5, 62% 39Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians1-0, 100% 150VS Los Angeles Angels0-1, 0% -100Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better5-17, 23% -1124vs Team Under .5009-5, 64% 105Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog7-9, 44% -86Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 32Cleveland Guardians
When Reid Detmers Starts3-3, 50% -10When Ben Lively Starts1-2, 33% -107Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -204Record at Home8-5, 62% 39Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians1-0, 100% 150VS Los Angeles Angels0-1, 0% -100Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -524vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% -174Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog4-6, 40% -104Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 32Cleveland Guardians
When Reid Detmers Starts3-2, 60% 90When Ben Lively Starts1-2, 33% -107Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON28-52, 35% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Reid Detmers STARTS2-4, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS0-3, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-11, 35% -513 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-7, 46% -314 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 4-7, 36% -113 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-7, 46% -314

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 10-7, 59% +22 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-5, 62% -5 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 5-6, 45% -231 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-5, 62% -5

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 11-6, 65% + 440 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590

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