The New York Yankees are 9-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 10-5 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Casey Mize. Clarke Schmidt has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Casey Mize has a 47% chance of a QS. If Clarke Schmidt has a quality start the Yankees has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 67%. In Casey Mize quality starts the Tigers win 55%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Juan Soto who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Wenceel Perez who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-5, 67% 444 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 54 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Detroit Tigers | 1-0, 100% 60 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-9, 50% -65 | vs Team Under .500 | 15-8, 65% 420 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-4, 56% 176 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-5, 64% 54 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 5-0, 100% 462 | When Clarke Schmidt Starts | 5-1, 83% 256 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 123 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 54 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Detroit Tigers | 1-0, 100% 60 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -151 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% -2 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-4, 50% 60 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-5, 64% 54 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 5-0, 100% 462 | When Clarke Schmidt Starts | 4-1, 80% 151 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-9, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-10, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-10, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 9-6, 60% +189 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-6, 57% -125 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% +173 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-6, 57% -125
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 10-5, 67% +303 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-6, 57% -125 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -18 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-6, 57% -125
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -180 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
